週次 |
日期 |
單元主題 |
第1週 |
09/09 |
Introduction (1) - course overview
Required reading: CLIVAR Science Plan_Final.pdf <at> http://www.clivar.org/documents/climate-and-ocean-%E2%80%93-variability-predictability-and-change-science-plan-and-implementation |
第2週 |
09/16 |
Introduction (2) - climate analysis, monitoring, attribution
Guest speaker: Dr. Chueh-Hsin Chang (Ewha Woman's University, South Korea) Talk: A link between subseasonal ocean eddies and enhanced one- to three-week forecast skill over subtropical western North Pacific
Reading assignments: Blunden, J. and D. S. Arndt, Eds., 2019: State of the Climate in 2018. Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 100(9), Si–S305, doi:10.1175/2019BAMSStateoftheClimate.1. <at> https://www.ametsoc.org/index.cfm/ams/publications/bulletin-of-the-american-meteorological-society-bams/state-of-the-climate/
WMO Statement on the State of the Global Climate in 2018
https://library.wmo.int/doc_num.php?explnum_id=5789 |
第3週 |
09/23 |
Introduction (3) – Major atmospheric patterns/modes of variability ; Atmospheric-ocean coupled variability/modes of sea surface temperature
Required reading: Hartmann (2016) Chapter 8;
References: Chapter 3 in IPCC WG1 AR4; Chapter 2&14 in IPCC WG1 AR5; Deser et al (2010) |
第4週 |
09/30 |
颱風假停課一次
(Part 2 of last week’s lecture)1. Major atmospheric patterns/modes of variability; 2. Major patterns/modes of sea surface temperature (atmosphere-ocean coupled) variability
Required reading: Hartmann(2016) Chapter8 ; Robertson and Vitart (2019) Chapters1 ; Shukla (Science, 1998) OR 「從天氣到短期氣候預測」(盧2010) |
第5週 |
10/07 |
[12:20-13:10] Special presentation by Dr. Yi-Ying Chen (RCEC, Academia Sinica): Introduction of Taiwan land cover reconstruction, biomass evaluation & vegetation responses to extremes (Typhoon/Frost/ENSO)
[S2S] Why S2S ? - S2S Phase-2 Project and Database.
[S2S] Identifying wave processes associated with predictability across time scales: An empirical normal mode approach.
Required reading: Robertson & Vitart (2019) Chapter2 |
第6週 |
10/14 |
[S2S] I. Stationary waves and transience in the atmosphere;
II. Blockings – climate impact and monitoring (by TA)
NOTE: Blocking index計算的相關資源可供大家參考。 |
第7週 |
10/21 |
[S2S] Tropical-Extratropical Interactions and Teleconnections |
第8週 |
10/28 |
[S2S] MJO and Convectively Coupled Equatorial Waves (1) |
第9週 |
11/04 |
Mid-term presentation and discussion.
Special presentation by Dr. Yen-Wei Li (Department of Geography, National Taiwan Normal University) Topic: 動力系集預報簡介 |
第10週 |
11/11 |
S2S Predictability (joint course with CWB) |
第11週 |
11/18 |
[S2S] MJO and Convectively Coupled Equatorial Waves (2) |
第12週 |
11/25 |
ENSO dynamics and prediction (1) (Lecturer: Professor Chung-Hsiung Sui) |
第13週 |
12/02 |
ENSO dynamics and prediction (2) - ENSO classification and modulation on MJO |
第14週 |
12/09 |
Western N. Pacific tropical cyclone climatology and variability |
第15週 |
12/16 |
S2S Predictability and Prediction skill
|
第16週 |
12/23 |
S2S prediction application - Climate and weather extremes |
第17週 |
12/30 |
Final report presentation and discussion (1)
柏君&崇瑋、冠廷 (Joint Final Presentation with 熱帶氣候動力專題(2)—BSISO) |
第18週 |
01/07 |
Final report presentation and discussion (2):建軒、翔耀&弘國、柏君 |